Over many years I’ve marveled at how reliable consumer sentiment has been as a contrarian indicator. When it reaches rock bottom then the markets, followed by the economy begin to…
Most of the economic data we’ve been seeing (don’t forget it’s historical data) belies the common thinking that the weather has been dampening economic growth. The just reported U.S. GDP…
The latest consumer confidence release shows a significant improvement. “Rising home prices and a rising stock market are two key factors that are boosting consumer confidence. And a third factor…
I read a blurb from Business Insider – entitled One Of The Biggest Arguments Of Fed Haters Is Getting Obliterated Before Our Eyes – discussing the adjacent chart (published on…
In mid-October the S&P 500 Index was at 1428.50 and I suggested (despite all the pessimism at that time) that if rates and inflation remained steady we could see the…
Studies examining former market calls (like checking the rear view mirror) of experts suggest that the ability of ‘gurus’ to predict markets is less than 50%. Slightly worse than flipping a coin. …
Although I’ll stick to my warning about the annual perils associated with stock markets during the 3rdQ (i.e. best to avoid – see previous postings) I do keep track of…
Back in early June, I posted Yogi Berra – as good an investment strategist as any! in which I suggested : “If financial turmoil continues unabated and rates remain extremely low,…
I was reading an interesting article about the U.S. JOBS (Jumpstart our Business Act) which in effect begins to unwind some of the so-called “investor protection” constraints imposed by the…
Unemployment is the dominant issue of the new millenium. I recall government leaders boasting that economic growth without job creation is simply the byproduct of rapid productivity growth…thanks to quantum…
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