Tag Archives: S&P 500

Market Tanks – Great news for some.

I haven’t published for some time now.  Why bother?  The economy was tanking, and the market was rallying.  Made no sense to someone who’s been managing money for 30+ years, so better to say nothing.  However today’s headlines are providing … Continue reading

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Why the S&P 500 should fall another 10% to 20%.

The risk of being so right in one’s projections (I called this meltdown months ago) is you begin to second guess yourself – maybe now I should turn bullish? The recent rally (which I covered in my “It’s a Trap” … Continue reading

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Optimism markets will rebound fast is just wrong!

Apparently Goldman strategists expect profits for companies in the S&P 500 will decline 33% this year, and rebound 55% next year.  It implies a V-shaped recovery.  Let’s forget that 2021 is a long way off and that their guess is … Continue reading

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Bear Market Over? Or “It’s a Trap!”

If you think a few good days in the stock market signals the end of the big bad BEAR, then watch this video. I’ve suggested in prior articles that there’s the potential for much more downside, especially as data (months, … Continue reading

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S&P 500 closes below my -35% target

The index blew through my original target (from early February) of 2600 – which I determined prior to the global lock-down meant to contain the novel coronavirus.  It was based on an average P/E of 15 times no growth in … Continue reading

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Market encroaching on my -35% target.

The stock market has been crushed in recent weeks and is officially in Bear Market territory (down more than 20%). Market pundits suggest that since markets usually provide information in advance, that a recession is “possible.” As I’ve indicated in … Continue reading

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Who predicted these oil prices? I’ll tell you.

The following prescient quote is from February 2014: The economies of China and India have slowed, and the U.S. is trending towards energy self-sufficiency thanks to production growth nobody envisioned back then.  The question today is why oil prices haven’t … Continue reading

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Who could have predicted these oil prices? I’ll tell you.

The following prescient quote is from February 2014: The economies of China and India have slowed, and the U.S. is trending towards energy self-sufficiency thanks to production growth nobody envisioned back then.  The question today is why oil prices haven’t … Continue reading

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Markets & September Heebeejeebies – Hide or Ride?

What’s an investor to do when everything expected has already come to pass, and it’s time to strategize for the future – but the potential September/October abyss is in the way? Having warned myself months ago about the coming rout … Continue reading

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Bonds at risk, inflation threat and stocks fully valued!

In mid-October the S&P 500 Index was at 1428.50 and I suggested (despite all the pessimism at that time) that if rates and inflation remained steady we could see the index move 20% higher. To be precise I reasoned: For … Continue reading

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