Tag Archives: S&P 500

Who could have predicted these oil prices? I’ll tell you.

The following prescient quote is from February 2014: The economies of China and India have slowed, and the U.S. is trending towards energy self-sufficiency thanks to production growth nobody envisioned back then.  The question today is why oil prices haven’t … Continue reading

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Markets & September Heebeejeebies – Hide or Ride?

What’s an investor to do when everything expected has already come to pass, and it’s time to strategize for the future – but the potential September/October abyss is in the way? Having warned myself months ago about the coming rout … Continue reading

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Bonds at risk, inflation threat and stocks fully valued!

In mid-October the S&P 500 Index was at 1428.50 and I suggested (despite all the pessimism at that time) that if rates and inflation remained steady we could see the index move 20% higher. To be precise I reasoned: For … Continue reading

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Gurus cannot time markets? I’ll tell you who can!

Studies examining former market calls (like checking the rear view mirror) of experts suggest that the ability of ‘gurus’ to predict markets is less than 50%.  Slightly worse than flipping a coin.  In my book I pick on a couple of very … Continue reading

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The ‘bonds’ are back in town? Don’t be fooled!

Back on June 4th, in my commentary suggesting Yogi Berra (“When you come to a fork in the road, take it!”) would make a great investment strategist I thought at the time we were indeed at a fork in the … Continue reading

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Goldman Sachs advice scares the beejeebies out of me!

“We think it’s time to say a ‘long good-bye’ to bonds, and embrace the ‘long good buy’ for equities” announces Goldman Sachs! This sort of pronouncement has the ability to turn someone who’s been a diehard bull since 2010 into … Continue reading

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How to predict the future – on the back of an envelope!

Fortune telling isn’t as difficult as you might think. A good prognosticor will combine some highly probable occurances (“you will meet someone”) with some razzle dazzle (“and become romantically involved”). Forecasting the stock market is easy enough as well. A … Continue reading

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