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Tag Archives: sentiment
When Consumer is Happy, Markets are High Risk
Consumer sentiment is usually considered an economic leading indicator. When confidence is at rock bottom levels, it’s a sign that the economy and stocks markets are heading lower. This isn’t true. I’ve published for years that consumer confidence is one … Continue reading
Posted in bonds, markets, Random Thoughts
Tagged bonds, confidence, consumer, Index, maverickinvestors, sentiment, spooner, stocks
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China? No need for worry in the year of the snake!
It’s the year of the snake, which seems appropriate since everyone is worried about the slowing of the Chinese economy. In previous posts, I’ve described why the economic course of action China has adopted is brilliant – the country’s only … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged asset, BofA Merrill, china, class, confidence, country, direct, economic, economy, foreign, fund, growth, hedge, investment, investor, mal, malvin, managers, maverick, maverickinvestors, money, policy, security, sentiment, slowed, slowing, spooner, survey, U.S.$, US$
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Correction done? Don’t bet on it!
On March 20th, I published the following quote in my regular money.ca blog entitled: Reacting to headlines is perilous! Most worrisome: Jim Cramer (wait long enough and you’ll eventually be right) is more wound up than a four-year old high … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged behavioural, benchmark, biases, bond, bubble, bubbles, bullish, consumer, correction, earnings, easy money, fair value, fed, financial, fundamentals, GDP, Index, invesment, investors, mal, malvin, markets, maverick, maverickinvestors.ca, money.ca, optimistic, performance, risk, s&p, S&P500, sentiment, spooner, stocks, World, yields
3 Comments
AAPL Sauce – The downside of upside!
Back in July I published a commentary warning about the perils of following the herd into a much loved stock. The risk is not disimilar to my previous post concerning the current love affair of investors in general with bonds. … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged aapl, apple, asset, bonds, buyers, class, earnings, herd, investor, investors, iPad, iPod, malvin, malvinspooner, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, motorola, MSI, price, probabilities, research in motion, rim, risk, sellers, sentiment, spooner, stock
3 Comments
Consumer – lower confidence is GOOD news!
Consumer confidence is often mistaken as a leading indicator. My experience over many years is that the measure is used at times to rationalize irrational bullishness – when the brain says sell and take some profits, but the urge to splurge is … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged 1987, 500, bottoms, bullish, bullishness, confidence, consumer, crash, economics, economy, Index, investors, lows, mal, malvin, market, maverick, s&p, sentiment, spooner, unemployement, valuations
5 Comments
Don’t Panic! It’s just 2010 all over again!
Over many years I’ve often been asked to meet with groups (accounting associations or investment advisors with auditoriums full of their clients) in order to help calm them during periods of malaise in financial markets. A tug of war is … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged 2010, anxiety, bipolar, bottom, capital, confidence, corporate, economic, financial, global, gretzky, growth, guidebook, investors, mal, malvin, managers, markets, maverick, money, mood, news, professional, profitability, reality, risk, sentiment, spooner, typical investor, values, wayne
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Road to rebound: What goes down must come up?
Through the Valley (New Hampshire) What goes down must come up? I spend considerable time in my new book explaining that markets always recover. The cynics argue it’s impossible to get the timing right, so why bother trying. I’ve been … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged bike, bonds, china, commodities, commodity, currencies, currency, growth, handbook, headlines, indicators, investor, laconia, market, maverick, recover, sentiment, stock, stocks, timing, today, USA, week
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Maverick Investors Rally Site 
The psychology of Market Meltdowns
Why would I want panic in markets? It’s the first step towards recovery (but not the last). A true market meltdown (if this is one) starts with panic – and we’re not there yet. The following is a direct quote … Continue reading →