Tag Archives: sectors

Earnings surprises impotent; Earnings shocks potent!

Evidence supports the notion that strategies targeting ‘earnings surprises’ are relatively impotent these days. I remember twenty years ago (long before these stats were tracked with near precision using quantitative techniques) it became abundantly clear to me that accurately predicting … Continue reading

Posted in Random Thoughts | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

When to rotate into cyclicals? NOW!

I’ve been preaching for decades (and discussed in both my books ad nauseum) that the right thing to be doing at any point in time is the exact opposite of what everyone else is doing.  If it’s a difficult thing to … Continue reading

Posted in Random Thoughts | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 5 Comments

Understand stock market in one minute!

LONDON, Nov 1 (Reuters) – Gold buckled under pressure from a stronger dollar on Tuesday after the Greek prime minister shocked financial markets by calling a referendum on an agreed bailout package and as the collapse of broker MF Global … Continue reading

Posted in Random Thoughts | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Real Reason BANK stocks are STRUGGLING!

Banks are in the news. The stocks are sucking wind, and massive layoffs continue unabated (recall in one of my earlier postings that that jobs relating to ‘financial activity’ have been declining rapidly in America). And it’s clearly a global … Continue reading

Posted in Random Thoughts | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment

Time to Buy? Stocks, Commodities & Television.

I was inspired this morning watching a business television interview.  A fund manager was suggesting that it’s probably a good idea to sell stocks and sit on some Treasury Bills or other cash equivalent.  Isn’t this exactly what I’ve said?  … Continue reading

Posted in Random Thoughts | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Robust earnings, slower economic growth, FED benign…what to do?

  Biker signal for “Slow Down” “WASHINGTON, April 28 (Reuters) – U.S. economic growth likely braked sharply in the first quarter as higher food and gasoline prices crimped consumer spending, but the setback will probably be fleeting given a firming … Continue reading

Posted in Random Thoughts | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Oil, inflation, the dollar and stock markets

The headline you see here is from 2005.  It appeared at the height of the last frenzy in energy markets, and  I fear we are at that stage again.  Here is a headline (Bloomberg) from today: “Oil increased for the fourth … Continue reading

Posted in Random Thoughts | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment