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Tag Archives: risky
Are markets in denial? Recent history in one chart!
Are we and the stock market in denial? Talk of a ‘double-dip’ recession seemed to grow quieter once the correction I predicted back in January ran its course and the market headed to new highs. I still adhere to my … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged assets, bernanke, bonds, bullish, china, consumers, corporate, crisis, curve, curves, debt, deflation, earnings, economies, economy, equities, europe, European, expectations, fed, federal, inflation, interest, investor, liquidity, long, mal, malvin, margin, market, markets, maturity, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, profitability, QE, quantitative, rates, reserve, risky, s&p, short, sloping, spooner, stock, tapering, treasuries, treasury, yellen, yield
1 Comment
First a correction; and then another banner year for stock markets!
It shouldn’t be surprising that the current ‘mood’ just oozes caution. The market is kind of like the bear (I met one face-to-face in Alaska many moons ago while fishing in ‘his‘ creek) – at one moment the bear seems content and … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged 500, adams, assets, bond, bonds, bubble, china, commodity, discount, earnings, economic, estimate, expectations, fair, gina, gold, Index, inflation, interest rates, investors, ISM, mal, malvinspooner, market, martin, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, momentum, optimism, overvalued, P/E, premium, price to value ratio, Price/Earnings, prices, ratio, revisions, risky, s&p, S&P500, spooner, stock, tapering, undervalued, value, yield
8 Comments
Spread for RISK narrowed; as predicted!
You might recall that in December I posted the adjacent chart, recommending that the spread between equity yields and treasuries was “NUTS” and a narrowing of the spread between more risk and less risk would favour stocks. It remains in … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged accessibility, Asia, assets, balance, behavior, behaviour, biases, blackberry, bonds, capital, consensus, crisis, economic, equities, europe, experts, financial, growth, housing, iPhone, markets, press, psychologists, psychology, returns, risky, sheets, spread, thinking, treasuries, yield, yields
2 Comments
Fairfax – Folly of Risk Management Part Deux!
A mere three days after publishing my brief rant about The Folly of Risk Management we learned that Fairfax Financial Holdings lost a chunk of money on their investments because of the hedges in place. To be fair, these same … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged allocation, asset, bet, collapse, commoidty, earnings, Fairfax, financial, gas, hedges, hedging, investments, leveraged, loss, mal, malvin, management, market, markets, maverick, maverickinvestors, natural, performance, prem, profits, risk, risky, securties, shares, spooner, stock, watsa
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Move into equities and QUICK! Sell HI & Buy LO!
For the cynics (the ‘wait-and-see’ crowd) this table should be an eye-opener. Just to recap: On Sept 29th I posted Asset Allocation points to RALLY! On November 17th I recommended Euro-Crisis is just noise – BUY American! Forget the headlines … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged allocation, asset, assets, austerity, banks, bonds, canada, central, corporate, cycle, deleveraging, earning yield, euro-crisis, europe, eurozone, global, Index, Indices, interest, investment, investors, latin america, long, mal, malvin, maverick, MSCI, rally, rates, returns, risky, s&p, spooner, stocks, strategy, term, treasuries, U.S.$, USA, World, yields
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