Tag Archives: quantitative

Are markets in denial? Recent history in one chart!

Are we and the stock market in denial?  Talk of a ‘double-dip’ recession seemed to grow quieter once the correction I predicted back in January ran its course and the market headed to new highs.  I still adhere to my … Continue reading

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Earnings surprises impotent; Earnings shocks potent!

Evidence supports the notion that strategies targeting ‘earnings surprises’ are relatively impotent these days. I remember twenty years ago (long before these stats were tracked with near precision using quantitative techniques) it became abundantly clear to me that accurately predicting … Continue reading

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Stay in Equities? Would you drive off a cliff?

It’s time again to send up a warning flare. Markets haven’t really responded to warnings from Warren Buffet about bonds, and quotes like the following are becoming more abundant: “Stay invested in equities. The break to all-time new highs in … Continue reading

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Stocks & Bonds…the next 100 years.

Trying to determine investment strategy hinges on a seemingly impossible exercize.  Namely, predicting what the world will be like.  The most important metrics are interest rates and real rates of return for the more critical asset class alternatives.  Despite our … Continue reading

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Hiring…..? Go for the older guys! Part deux.

In an earlier but extremely popular posting entitled –Hiring Portfolio Managers? Go for the older guys! – I hinted that age discrimination, at least when it comes to the investment industry is a bad idea, even if it is endemic.  I have no supporting … Continue reading

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