Tag Archives: profits

The Day After – Catalyst for resumption of Bull Market will be a surprise!

I provided a rather winded explanation in my previous discussion about why the current correction was inevitable.  Since then, the S&P 500 has declined roughly 3%.  It is likely to get worse before it gets better? My own estimation was … Continue reading

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Apple – starting to rot? RIM and Motorola been there!

Disappointing results from Apple this past quarter just may be an early sign of more rot to come .  Being more experienced as a portfolio manager has its advantages…if only because of the benefits of hindsight.  Sexy products have a lifecycle that … Continue reading

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Is the end near? For yield it just might be!

A huge believer that what we read in the press is always the exact opposite of what we should expect, the universal agreement by pundits that interest rates will remain at rock bottom levels must be a signal.  And the … Continue reading

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Behavioural psychologists DON’T understand investment industry.

Most people would agree with the following statement by celebrated behavioural psychologist Daniel Kahneman – from his best selling book describing new insights into how good and bad decisions are made: “Why do investors, both amateur and professional, stubbornly believe … Continue reading

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Fairfax – Folly of Risk Management Part Deux!

A mere three days after publishing my brief rant about The Folly of Risk Management we learned that Fairfax Financial Holdings lost a chunk of money on their investments because of the hedges in place. To be fair, these same … Continue reading

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Forget oil, metals, gold – invest in U.S. industry.

I wrote in my posting dated May 17th, entitled Bond rally or feint? Bullish stocks again! the following: “The issue now is does one make decisions based on history or does it make more sense to look through the current ‘correction?’  … Continue reading

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Markets bounce back as expected – but maybe too fast!

I am touring on my Harley in Arizona and not focussed on markets, but yesterday’s Wall Street Journal headline “Subprime Bonds are Back” has me worried. Subtitle: As economy recovers, long-term investors willing to take on more risks.’ Bloomberg today … Continue reading

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