Tag Archives: production

Since when is the weather an economic barometer? Absurd!

Most of the economic data we’ve been seeing (don’t forget it’s historical data) belies the common thinking that the weather has been dampening economic growth.  The just reported U.S. GDP revision for the 4th quarter (up from 2.4% to 2.6%) … Continue reading

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The Day After – Catalyst for resumption of Bull Market will be a surprise!

I provided a rather winded explanation in my previous discussion about why the current correction was inevitable.  Since then, the S&P 500 has declined roughly 3%.  It is likely to get worse before it gets better? My own estimation was … Continue reading

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China will be the next big surprise!

China was all the rage for a short while, but despite chugging along at a premium growth rate to the rest of the world, investors have pretty much focussed on other markets – the U.S. of course but Japan as well of … Continue reading

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Everyone expects a correction; they just haven’t caused one yet!

The release of data that is unexpected can be disruptive to markets as we’ve just experienced, but what causes even more volatility is the impact of surprising data releases on investor expectations.  Bear markets caused by recessions are easier to … Continue reading

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Apple – starting to rot? RIM and Motorola been there!

Disappointing results from Apple this past quarter just may be an early sign of more rot to come .  Being more experienced as a portfolio manager has its advantages…if only because of the benefits of hindsight.  Sexy products have a lifecycle that … Continue reading

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Cyclicals Surprise Attack?

Earlier in the month, Alcoa was featured as the ‘second worse performing Dow stock in 2011.’ It was almost universally (in research reports by analysts and the press) expected that the financial results would be terrible, as evidenced by this … Continue reading

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Encana: it’s a gas! Good Management 101

Encana has been under fire from the investment community for some time now. In the past I’ve been critical of the pressure public companies have to suffer nowadays (see past posts on short selling, a short term obsession with ‘growth‘ … Continue reading

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