Tag Archives: predicted

Earnings surprises impotent; Earnings shocks potent!

Evidence supports the notion that strategies targeting ‘earnings surprises’ are relatively impotent these days. I remember twenty years ago (long before these stats were tracked with near precision using quantitative techniques) it became abundantly clear to me that accurately predicting … Continue reading

Posted in Random Thoughts | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

The ‘bonds’ are back in town? Don’t be fooled!

Back on June 4th, in my commentary suggesting Yogi Berra (“When you come to a fork in the road, take it!”) would make a great investment strategist I thought at the time we were indeed at a fork in the … Continue reading

Posted in Random Thoughts | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | Leave a comment

Beware a German Bund Fight!

I’d like to revisit a recurring phenomenon – and a reliable contrarian indicator – that befuddles the logical mind yet regularly creates investment opportunities. I’m inspired (again) by this comment I received from a fellow investment professional: “I have read … Continue reading

Posted in Random Thoughts | Tagged , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , | 1 Comment