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Tag Archives: monetary
Since when is the weather an economic barometer? Absurd!
Most of the economic data we’ve been seeing (don’t forget it’s historical data) belies the common thinking that the weather has been dampening economic growth. The just reported U.S. GDP revision for the 4th quarter (up from 2.4% to 2.6%) … Continue reading
Posted in markets, Random Thoughts
Tagged confidence, consumer, contrarian, economy, GDP, housing, indicator, industrial, investors, jobless, malvin, market, markets, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, monetary, mortgage, overvalued, production, rates, slump, spooner, stimulus, stock, tapering, unemployment, weakness, weather
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“We’ve been expecting a sell-off because..” What BUNK!
Well I just have to laugh-out-loud. We know what the market is doing: NEW YORK (MarketWatch) — U.S. stock futures fell sharply on Thursday, along with Asian and European equities as well as gold prices and bonds after the Federal … Continue reading
China will be the next big surprise!
China was all the rage for a short while, but despite chugging along at a premium growth rate to the rest of the world, investors have pretty much focussed on other markets – the U.S. of course but Japan as well of … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged 500, america, bonds, boom, china, commodities, composite, corporate, crisis, dividends, economies, economy, energy, europe, exports, fertilizer, financial, funds, GDP, global, hedge, industrial, inflation, institutional, investing, investors, Japan, mal, malvin, markets, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, mining, monetary, north, production, profitability, resources, retail, s&p, sales, shanghai, spooner, steel, stimulus, stock, strategists, surprises, U.S.$, US$
6 Comments
BONDS – Where we go from here! (And what about equities?)
But there may be reason to expect any correction to be mitigated by a FED that wants to simply layoff the accelerator rather than apply the brakes. There have been periods when interest rates have climbed modestly yet stock markets continued to be relatively generous. Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged 500, bonds, corporate, correction, discount, duration, earnings, equities, fed, flows, fund, income, Index, interest, ISM, junk, malvin, market, maverickinvestors.com, monetary, policy, portfolios, post-crisis, rates, real, return, risk, ROE, s&p, spooner, spread, stimulus, stock, stocks, tightening, treasuries, treaury, valuations
1 Comment
BONDS – Where we go from here!
But there may be reason to expect any correction to be mitigated by a FED that wants to simply layoff the accelerator rather than apply the brakes. There have been periods when interest rates have climbed modestly yet stock markets continued to be relatively generous. Continue reading
Posted in bonds, Random Thoughts
Tagged 500, bonds, corporate, correction, discount, duration, earnings, equities, fed, flows, fund, income, Index, interest, ISM, junk, malvin, market, maverickinvestors.com, monetary, policy, portfolios, post-crisis, rates, real, return, risk, ROE, s&p, spooner, spread, stimulus, stock, stocks, tightening, treasuries, treaury, valuations
1 Comment
Selling bonds to buy stocks? Try door #3 instead!
I have been warning about bonds now for over 6 months. Finally the press is catching on, ensuring that a normal development over the course of a business cycle (whether ignited by natural forces or government intervention) – rising interest … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged 500, aggressive, bonds, bubble, business, compliance, correction, crisis, cycle, DJIA, financial, government, inflation, interest rates, intervention, investment, investors, mal, malvin, market, markets, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, monetary, policy, risk, s&p, S&P500, spooner, stock, stocks, treasuries, U.S.$, ubs, US$, warren buffet, yields
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Rising i-rates: More than bonds will get hammered!
In a recent “Investor Alert” the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA) warned the investing public: If you have money in a bond fund that holds primarily long-term bonds, expect the value of that fund to decline, perhaps significantly, when interest … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged bank, bernanke, bond, business, central banks, credit, crisis, distribution, dividends, durations, easy, energy, financial, FINRA, flows, fund, growth, income, industrials, interest, investors, iShares, mal, malvin, materials, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, monetary, mutual funds, net, policy, rates, rising, risk, sales, sensitivity, spooner, stimulative, stocks, telecommunication services, trust, US$, utilities, value, yield
1 Comment
Why the price of gold skyrocketed and why it’s over!
Everyone is fascinated by the yellow metal. I’ve been to exploration sites as far north as Nunavut (by the Arctic Ocean) and south to operating mines in Chile. But determining what it’s worth remains a conundrum to all of us. The price … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged bonds, bullion, credit, demand, expectations, fund, funds, gold, government, history, inflation, interest, investors, liqidity, malvin, malvinspooner, markets, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, monetary, money, mutual, policy, price, rally, rates, resources, spooner, treasuries, US$
11 Comments
U.S. Employment: It’s getting better all the time!
Although I’ll stick to my warning about the annual perils associated with stock markets during the 3rdQ (i.e. best to avoid – see previous postings) I do keep track of what’s going on in the economy by monitoring what I’ve … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged bubble, china, claims, cliff, easy, economy, election, elections, europe, events, financial, fiscal, growth, initial jobless, investors, layoff, layoffs, malvin, malvinspooner, markets, mass, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, monetary, policy, spooner, stock, unemployment
2 Comments