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Tag Archives: maverickinvestors.com
Despite Relief Rallies, Markets headed lower.
On Feb. 26th, I published my ‘revised’ downside for the S&P 500 of 17%. Well, watching CNBC I discover major indexes are now down 17%. I am patting myself on the back, but am hardly ecstatic. So is it all … Continue reading
Posted in markets, Random Thoughts
Tagged Bear, bearish, earnings, malvin, market, maverickinvestors.com, spooner, stock market, stocks, technical
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Oil stocks still worth avoiding – usually fall more than crude prices.
I suggested in prior post that oil would be in trouble due to the COVID-19 impact on fuel demand. The stocks are being clobbered, and one might be tempted to ‘buy low.’ After all, Chevron’s dividend yield is above 5%. … Continue reading
Posted in GOLD & COMMODITIES, Random Thoughts
Tagged demand, global economic growth, markets, maverickinvestors.com, oil prices, oilsands, recession, spooner, stocks, supply
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Fun with FAANG (stocks)
I often toy with numbers to get a sense of what the risk might be in extreme circumstances (like we’re experiencing in the markets). For instance, what “if” the FAANG stocks, Facebook, Amazon, Apple, Netflix and Google (Alphabet) all traded … Continue reading
Why the market carnage? It’s expecting a period of “inflession” (I invented the word).
I’ve invented a new word for what’s coming: Inflession (add to dictionary) is a combination of recession and inflation, characterized by low unemployment and very low interest rates. Sound strange? The yield curve warned us months ago (when first inverted) … Continue reading
Posted in markets, Random Thoughts
Tagged bond market, economy, inflation, interest rates, malvin, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, recession, spooner, stock market
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Who predicted these oil prices? I’ll tell you.
The following prescient quote is from February 2014: The economies of China and India have slowed, and the U.S. is trending towards energy self-sufficiency thanks to production growth nobody envisioned back then. The question today is why oil prices haven’t … Continue reading
Posted in GOLD & COMMODITIES, Random Thoughts
Tagged bonds, capital spending, china, earnings, economy, emerging, energy, eurozone, forecast, global, Greece, industry, inflation, Latvia, malvin, markets, maverickinvestors.com, oil prices, outlook, P/E, railways, S&P 500, seekingalpha.com, shale, spooner, stock market, stocks, treasuries, U.S.$, US$, yield
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Who could have predicted these oil prices? I’ll tell you.
The following prescient quote is from February 2014: The economies of China and India have slowed, and the U.S. is trending towards energy self-sufficiency thanks to production growth nobody envisioned back then. The question today is why oil prices haven’t … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged bonds, capital spending, china, earnings, economy, emerging, energy, eurozone, forecast, global, Greece, industry, inflation, Latvia, malvin, markets, maverickinvestors.com, oil prices, outlook, P/E, railways, S&P 500, seekingalpha.com, shale, spooner, stock market, stocks, treasuries, U.S.$, US$, yield
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Since when is the weather an economic barometer? Absurd!
Most of the economic data we’ve been seeing (don’t forget it’s historical data) belies the common thinking that the weather has been dampening economic growth. The just reported U.S. GDP revision for the 4th quarter (up from 2.4% to 2.6%) … Continue reading
Posted in markets, Random Thoughts
Tagged confidence, consumer, contrarian, economy, GDP, housing, indicator, industrial, investors, jobless, malvin, market, markets, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, monetary, mortgage, overvalued, production, rates, slump, spooner, stimulus, stock, tapering, unemployment, weakness, weather
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Are markets in denial? Recent history in one chart!
Are we and the stock market in denial? Talk of a ‘double-dip’ recession seemed to grow quieter once the correction I predicted back in January ran its course and the market headed to new highs. I still adhere to my … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged assets, bernanke, bonds, bullish, china, consumers, corporate, crisis, curve, curves, debt, deflation, earnings, economies, economy, equities, europe, European, expectations, fed, federal, inflation, interest, investor, liquidity, long, mal, malvin, margin, market, markets, maturity, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, profitability, QE, quantitative, rates, reserve, risky, s&p, short, sloping, spooner, stock, tapering, treasuries, treasury, yellen, yield
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