Perhaps the (quiet) rally in gold has been telling us something. Commodity prices typically rise with inflation, and it shouldn’t be a surprise that they tend to be leading indicator…
It seems the experts are finally catching up to me. The US Energy Information Administration has revised down its outlook for fuels demand due to the coronavirus outbreak and it’s…
The following is a quote from the book I wrote as I rode my Harley across the heartland of America, contemplating the lessons I learned over 30 years as a…
A recent article posted on CBC Business News was entitled “Why worries about the coronavirus are pushing mortgage rates down.” Below is the explanation: Fixed-rate loans are highly influenced by…
There are a enough indicators to suggest we’re already ‘in’ a recession. But, you say, GDP stats that have been published remain positive. As I learned decades ago, historical data…
The following prescient quote is from February 2014: The economies of China and India have slowed, and the U.S. is trending towards energy self-sufficiency thanks to production growth nobody envisioned…
Most of the economic data we’ve been seeing (don’t forget it’s historical data) belies the common thinking that the weather has been dampening economic growth. The just reported U.S. GDP…
Are we and the stock market in denial? Talk of a ‘double-dip’ recession seemed to grow quieter once the correction I predicted back in January ran its course and the…
One rule of thumb that works is ‘follow the smart money.’ Based on the most recent data I’ve seen: In the three months to November, $20.4 bln flowed into equities,…
I provided a rather winded explanation in my previous discussion about why the current correction was inevitable. Since then, the S&P 500 has declined roughly 3%. It is likely to…
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