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Tag Archives: market
Cannabis stocks getting high!
Seems there’s been a run on marijuana as folks stuck at home look for some relief: Shares in most of the big cannabis companies are up sharply this week following reports of a spike in demand as consumers attempt to … Continue reading
Despite Relief Rallies, Markets headed lower.
On Feb. 26th, I published my ‘revised’ downside for the S&P 500 of 17%. Well, watching CNBC I discover major indexes are now down 17%. I am patting myself on the back, but am hardly ecstatic. So is it all … Continue reading
Posted in markets, Random Thoughts
Tagged Bear, bearish, earnings, malvin, market, maverickinvestors.com, spooner, stock market, stocks, technical
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ls it the perfect storm? Did someone hit the sell everything button?
U.S. fund manager Peter Tchir sent a note to his clients entitled: “Did Someone Hit the Sell Everything Button?” His biggest concern (and everyone’s) is the sudden change in behavior – panic selling. Younger money managers likely haven’t experienced the … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts, stocks
Tagged bond market, coronavirus, gold, market, maverickinvestors.com maverick investment, panic, sellers, selling, stock market
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You buy Shopify; I’ll buy Methanex
Okay, which of these two charts do you like best? I’m thinking it’s no contest right? You want the Shopify? I’m not at all surprised. But charts like theirs scare me. Valuations like theirs frustrate me (300X annualized earnings). The … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts, stocks
Tagged internet, market, maverickinvestors, methanol methanex shopify stocks charts, spooner, stock market, technology, trade, trading
1 Comment
Since when is the weather an economic barometer? Absurd!
Most of the economic data we’ve been seeing (don’t forget it’s historical data) belies the common thinking that the weather has been dampening economic growth. The just reported U.S. GDP revision for the 4th quarter (up from 2.4% to 2.6%) … Continue reading
Posted in markets, Random Thoughts
Tagged confidence, consumer, contrarian, economy, GDP, housing, indicator, industrial, investors, jobless, malvin, market, markets, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, monetary, mortgage, overvalued, production, rates, slump, spooner, stimulus, stock, tapering, unemployment, weakness, weather
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Are markets in denial? Recent history in one chart!
Are we and the stock market in denial? Talk of a ‘double-dip’ recession seemed to grow quieter once the correction I predicted back in January ran its course and the market headed to new highs. I still adhere to my … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged assets, bernanke, bonds, bullish, china, consumers, corporate, crisis, curve, curves, debt, deflation, earnings, economies, economy, equities, europe, European, expectations, fed, federal, inflation, interest, investor, liquidity, long, mal, malvin, margin, market, markets, maturity, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, profitability, QE, quantitative, rates, reserve, risky, s&p, short, sloping, spooner, stock, tapering, treasuries, treasury, yellen, yield
1 Comment
First a correction; and then another banner year for stock markets!
It shouldn’t be surprising that the current ‘mood’ just oozes caution. The market is kind of like the bear (I met one face-to-face in Alaska many moons ago while fishing in ‘his‘ creek) – at one moment the bear seems content and … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged 500, adams, assets, bond, bonds, bubble, china, commodity, discount, earnings, economic, estimate, expectations, fair, gina, gold, Index, inflation, interest rates, investors, ISM, mal, malvinspooner, market, martin, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, momentum, optimism, overvalued, P/E, premium, price to value ratio, Price/Earnings, prices, ratio, revisions, risky, s&p, S&P500, spooner, stock, tapering, undervalued, value, yield
8 Comments
Earnings surprises impotent; Earnings shocks potent!
Evidence supports the notion that strategies targeting ‘earnings surprises’ are relatively impotent these days. I remember twenty years ago (long before these stats were tracked with near precision using quantitative techniques) it became abundantly clear to me that accurately predicting … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged 500, Canfor, correlation, data, earnings, energy, errors, estimates, excess, financial, ford, forest, investors, Kerkorian, market, materials, Morgan Stanley, optimistic, paper, pessimistic, predicted, products, quantitative, rally, return, s&p, sectors, shock, stock, surprise, tech, telecom
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Maverick Investors Rally Site 
The psychology of Market Meltdowns
Why would I want panic in markets? It’s the first step towards recovery (but not the last). A true market meltdown (if this is one) starts with panic – and we’re not there yet. The following is a direct quote … Continue reading →