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Tag Archives: investors
Since when is the weather an economic barometer? Absurd!
Most of the economic data we’ve been seeing (don’t forget it’s historical data) belies the common thinking that the weather has been dampening economic growth. The just reported U.S. GDP revision for the 4th quarter (up from 2.4% to 2.6%) … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged confidence, consumer, contrarian, economy, GDP, housing, indicator, industrial, investors, jobless, malvin, market, markets, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, monetary, mortgage, overvalued, production, rates, slump, spooner, stimulus, stock, tapering, unemployment, weakness, weather
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TESLA will bring us World Peace? At this price it better!
Based on the stock price performance, we should expect Tesla to bring about world peace. Exciting growth situations, and I’ve seen many of them in various industries over my long career, seem to defy gravity for extended periods of time. … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged aapl, analysis, android, apple, automotive, battery, bloomberg, car, com, earnings, electric, estimates, expected, finance, financial, growth, industry, investors, lynch, malvin, maverick, maverickinvestors, model s, motors, peter, research, share, spooner, stock, tech, tesla, yahoo
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The Day After – Catalyst for resumption of Bull Market will be a surprise!
I provided a rather winded explanation in my previous discussion about why the current correction was inevitable. Since then, the S&P 500 has declined roughly 3%. It is likely to get worse before it gets better? My own estimation was … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged 500, china, commodity, consumption, corporate, correction, countries, crude, debt, demand, earnings, economies, economy, energy, estimates, factory, finance, global, growth, India, inflation, investment, investors, Iran, Iraq, january effect, malvin, malvinspooner, markets, maverick, maverickinvestors.comfuel, oil, oil-producing, OPEC, production, productivity, profitability, profits, s&p, S&P500, spooner, stocks, supply, Syria, tapering, wti
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First a correction; and then another banner year for stock markets!
It shouldn’t be surprising that the current ‘mood’ just oozes caution. The market is kind of like the bear (I met one face-to-face in Alaska many moons ago while fishing in ‘his‘ creek) – at one moment the bear seems content and … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged 500, adams, assets, bond, bonds, bubble, china, commodity, discount, earnings, economic, estimate, expectations, fair, gina, gold, Index, inflation, interest rates, investors, ISM, mal, malvinspooner, market, martin, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, momentum, optimism, overvalued, P/E, premium, price to value ratio, Price/Earnings, prices, ratio, revisions, risky, s&p, S&P500, spooner, stock, tapering, undervalued, value, yield
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Earnings surprises impotent; Earnings shocks potent!
Evidence supports the notion that strategies targeting ‘earnings surprises’ are relatively impotent these days. I remember twenty years ago (long before these stats were tracked with near precision using quantitative techniques) it became abundantly clear to me that accurately predicting … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged 500, Canfor, correlation, data, earnings, energy, errors, estimates, excess, financial, ford, forest, investors, Kerkorian, market, materials, Morgan Stanley, optimistic, paper, pessimistic, predicted, products, quantitative, rally, return, s&p, sectors, shock, stock, surprise, tech, telecom
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Jim Rogers stealing my thunder? GOLD!
I can’t help but admire anyone who rides a bike for long distances, and Jim Rogers is one of those who takes the cake. I met him in Scotland at the Chartered Financial Analysts Institute’s Annual Conference (2010). Although my … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged agriculture, apple, bullion, cfa, Chartered Financial Analysts, coal, commodities, copper, correction, depression, energy, exploration, fertilizer, financial, gas, global, gold, investors, Jim, mal, malvin, market, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, nickel, oil, real estate, Rogers, silver, spooner, system
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China’s Catch-22
I considered the title “bad news is good news” but it seems the phrase ‘Catch-22’ from Joseph Heller’s book is more appropriate. A dictionary describes it as “a problematic situation for which the only solution is denied by a circumstance … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged appreciate, Bank of America, bull, china, Chinese, Citibank, composite, credit, currency, DAP, debt, depreciate, economic, economy, exchange, expansion, exports, fertilizer, financing, goldman, greenback, growth, interest, investors, liquidity, loan, mal, malvin, market, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, money, Morgan, nitrogen, nomura, people's bank, rates, remnimbi, RMB, shanghai, spooner, treasuries, trillion, U.S.$, urea
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