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Tag Archives: investment
The Day After – Catalyst for resumption of Bull Market will be a surprise!
I provided a rather winded explanation in my previous discussion about why the current correction was inevitable. Since then, the S&P 500 has declined roughly 3%. It is likely to get worse before it gets better? My own estimation was … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged 500, china, commodity, consumption, corporate, correction, countries, crude, debt, demand, earnings, economies, economy, energy, estimates, factory, finance, global, growth, India, inflation, investment, investors, Iran, Iraq, january effect, malvin, malvinspooner, markets, maverick, maverickinvestors.comfuel, oil, oil-producing, OPEC, production, productivity, profitability, profits, s&p, S&P500, spooner, stocks, supply, Syria, tapering, wti
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China? No need for worry in the year of the snake!
It’s the year of the snake, which seems appropriate since everyone is worried about the slowing of the Chinese economy. In previous posts, I’ve described why the economic course of action China has adopted is brilliant – the country’s only … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged asset, BofA Merrill, china, class, confidence, country, direct, economic, economy, foreign, fund, growth, hedge, investment, investor, mal, malvin, managers, maverick, maverickinvestors, money, policy, security, sentiment, slowed, slowing, spooner, survey, U.S.$, US$
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Selling bonds to buy stocks? Try door #3 instead!
I have been warning about bonds now for over 6 months. Finally the press is catching on, ensuring that a normal development over the course of a business cycle (whether ignited by natural forces or government intervention) – rising interest … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged 500, aggressive, bonds, bubble, business, compliance, correction, crisis, cycle, DJIA, financial, government, inflation, interest rates, intervention, investment, investors, mal, malvin, market, markets, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, monetary, policy, risk, s&p, S&P500, spooner, stock, stocks, treasuries, U.S.$, ubs, US$, warren buffet, yields
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Bonds at risk, inflation threat and stocks fully valued!
In mid-October the S&P 500 Index was at 1428.50 and I suggested (despite all the pessimism at that time) that if rates and inflation remained steady we could see the index move 20% higher. To be precise I reasoned: For … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged bonds, china, confidence, consumer, corporate, earnings, europe, expectations, growth, Index, inflation, interest rates, investment, investor, markets, money, P/E, S&P 500, stock, supply, treasuries, unemployment
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Explaining the January Effect (small companies outperform)!
A perplexing phenomenon for money managers and academics alike is the so-called “January effect.” Also known as the small-cap effect it generally refers to the fact that January tends to be a pretty good month for the stocks of smaller … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged anomalies, anomaly, birth, cap, companies, effect, financial, insitutional, investment, investors, january, large, mal, malvin, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, micro, outperformance, performace, prices, rates, retail, small, spooner, stock, stocks
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