Tag Archives: indicator

Since when is the weather an economic barometer? Absurd!

Most of the economic data we’ve been seeing (don’t forget it’s historical data) belies the common thinking that the weather has been dampening economic growth.  The just reported U.S. GDP revision for the 4th quarter (up from 2.4% to 2.6%) … Continue reading

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High Consumer Confidence is bad news for stock market!

The latest consumer confidence release shows a significant improvement. “Rising home prices and a rising stock market are two key factors that are boosting consumer confidence. And a third factor is rising strength in the jobs market. The consumer confidence … Continue reading

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Beware a German Bund Fight!

I’d like to revisit a recurring phenomenon – and a reliable contrarian indicator – that befuddles the logical mind yet regularly creates investment opportunities. I’m inspired (again) by this comment I received from a fellow investment professional: “I have read … Continue reading

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China, Commodities, Oil – buy when bad is bad and good is bad!

From Bloomberg: “A Chinese leading indicator climbed for the third straight month, adding to evidence that the world’s second-biggest economy is withstanding Europe’s debt crisis and faltering growth in the U.S.” As crazy as it seems, lately no matter what … Continue reading

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Falling consumer confidence is BULLISH!

I just heard on the TV a disussion about the U.S. housing market these words: “There’s no hope of a recover in sight!”  As I hinted in my previous posting, this isn’t such a bad thing.  A maverick investor sees … Continue reading

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