Consumer sentiment is usually considered an economic leading indicator. When confidence is at rock bottom levels, it’s a sign that the economy and stocks markets are heading lower. This isn’t…
For those who follow my rants, you’ll recall (okay, you probably won’t recall) my proprietary method of estimating where the S&P 500 Index should be headed. If you scan very…
It shouldn’t be surprising that the current ‘mood’ just oozes caution. The market is kind of like the bear (I met one face-to-face in Alaska many moons ago while fishing…
But there may be reason to expect any correction to be mitigated by a FED that wants to simply layoff the accelerator rather than apply the brakes. There have been periods when interest rates have climbed modestly yet stock markets continued to be relatively generous.
The latest consumer confidence release shows a significant improvement. “Rising home prices and a rising stock market are two key factors that are boosting consumer confidence. And a third factor…
I read a blurb from Business Insider – entitled One Of The Biggest Arguments Of Fed Haters Is Getting Obliterated Before Our Eyes – discussing the adjacent chart (published on…
On March 20th, I published the following quote in my regular money.ca blog entitled: Reacting to headlines is perilous! Most worrisome: Jim Cramer (wait long enough and you’ll eventually be…
The release of data that is unexpected can be disruptive to markets as we’ve just experienced, but what causes even more volatility is the impact of surprising data releases on…
In mid-October the S&P 500 Index was at 1428.50 and I suggested (despite all the pessimism at that time) that if rates and inflation remained steady we could see the…
Back on June 4th, in my commentary suggesting Yogi Berra (“When you come to a fork in the road, take it!”) would make a great investment strategist I thought at…
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