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Tag Archives: Index
First a correction; and then another banner year for stock markets!
It shouldn’t be surprising that the current ‘mood’ just oozes caution. The market is kind of like the bear (I met one face-to-face in Alaska many moons ago while fishing in ‘his‘ creek) – at one moment the bear seems content and … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged 500, adams, assets, bond, bonds, bubble, china, commodity, discount, earnings, economic, estimate, expectations, fair, gina, gold, Index, inflation, interest rates, investors, ISM, mal, malvinspooner, market, martin, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, momentum, optimism, overvalued, P/E, premium, price to value ratio, Price/Earnings, prices, ratio, revisions, risky, s&p, S&P500, spooner, stock, tapering, undervalued, value, yield
8 Comments
BONDS – Where we go from here! (And what about equities?)
But there may be reason to expect any correction to be mitigated by a FED that wants to simply layoff the accelerator rather than apply the brakes. There have been periods when interest rates have climbed modestly yet stock markets continued to be relatively generous. Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged 500, bonds, corporate, correction, discount, duration, earnings, equities, fed, flows, fund, income, Index, interest, ISM, junk, malvin, market, maverickinvestors.com, monetary, policy, portfolios, post-crisis, rates, real, return, risk, ROE, s&p, spooner, spread, stimulus, stock, stocks, tightening, treasuries, treaury, valuations
1 Comment
High Consumer Confidence is bad news for stock market!
The latest consumer confidence release shows a significant improvement. “Rising home prices and a rising stock market are two key factors that are boosting consumer confidence. And a third factor is rising strength in the jobs market. The consumer confidence … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged 500, bearish, bubble, bullish, confidence, consumer, economy, employment, equities, finance, housing, Index, indicator, interest, investors, mal, malvinspooner, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, money.ca, overvalued, prices, rates, risk, s&p, spooner, unemployment
5 Comments
Does divergence of stocks and commodities tell us anything at all?
I read a blurb from Business Insider – entitled One Of The Biggest Arguments Of Fed Haters Is Getting Obliterated Before Our Eyes – discussing the adjacent chart (published on May 15th) that still has me confused. Here is a … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged 500, banks, basic, bernanke, business, commodities, curde, currency, easy, economy, equities, fed, financials, housing, Index, industry, insider, interest, investors, mal, malvin, malvinspooner, manufacturing, market, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, mining, money, Ponzi, rails, rates, s&p, spooner, stimulus, stock, stocks, train, unemployment, west texas intermediate, wti, yield
1 Comment
Correction done? Don’t bet on it!
On March 20th, I published the following quote in my regular money.ca blog entitled: Reacting to headlines is perilous! Most worrisome: Jim Cramer (wait long enough and you’ll eventually be right) is more wound up than a four-year old high … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged behavioural, benchmark, biases, bond, bubble, bubbles, bullish, consumer, correction, earnings, easy money, fair value, fed, financial, fundamentals, GDP, Index, invesment, investors, mal, malvin, markets, maverick, maverickinvestors.ca, money.ca, optimistic, performance, risk, s&p, S&P500, sentiment, spooner, stocks, World, yields
3 Comments
Everyone expects a correction; they just haven’t caused one yet!
The release of data that is unexpected can be disruptive to markets as we’ve just experienced, but what causes even more volatility is the impact of surprising data releases on investor expectations. Bear markets caused by recessions are easier to … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged ADP, Bear, bubble, commerce, correction, data, department, dividend, employment, expectations, factory, federal, Index, industrial, Institute of Supply Management, inventories, investor, investors, ISM, jobs, mal, malvin, manufacturing, markets, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, orders, PMI, post-crisis, production, pullback, recessions, reserve, shipments, slowdown, spooner, strategists, system, yield
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Bonds at risk, inflation threat and stocks fully valued!
In mid-October the S&P 500 Index was at 1428.50 and I suggested (despite all the pessimism at that time) that if rates and inflation remained steady we could see the index move 20% higher. To be precise I reasoned: For … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged bonds, china, confidence, consumer, corporate, earnings, europe, expectations, growth, Index, inflation, interest rates, investment, investor, markets, money, P/E, S&P 500, stock, supply, treasuries, unemployment
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