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Tag Archives: funds
Fund flows drive markets, and they suggest many months of misery.
Having (with partners) founded and managed a mutual fund company, I can share some insights when it comes to timing markets. Some say it’s impossible, but the data (and experience) suggest otherwise. For instance, just before the COVID-19 mayhem which … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts, stocks
Tagged bearish, coronavirus, flows, funds, inflows, maverickinvestors, mutual funds, recession, recovery, redemptions, spooner, stock market
4 Comments
Private Equity/Debt Cockroaches emerging.
I published here (in late January) and on SeekingAlpha.com a warning that the surge in private equity (with with emphasis on “private” or illiquid) in the past decade would reek havoc for institutional and individual investors alike. We’re beginning to … Continue reading
Posted in markets, Random Thoughts
Tagged bearish, coronavirus, debt, equity, funding, funds, liquidity, private, selling, stock market, valuation
2 Comments
Low oil prices – great for China
China’s imported over 10 million barrels of oil daily in 2019 according to the Energy Information Administration. Ten million barrels PER DAY, every day of the year or 3.65 BILLION barrels per year. So a $20 drop in WTI oil … Continue reading
Posted in GOLD & COMMODITIES, Random Thoughts
Tagged china, coronavirus, costs, ETF's, funds, manufacturing, maverickinvestors, oil prices, spooner, stock market
1 Comment
China will be the next big surprise!
China was all the rage for a short while, but despite chugging along at a premium growth rate to the rest of the world, investors have pretty much focussed on other markets – the U.S. of course but Japan as well of … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged 500, america, bonds, boom, china, commodities, composite, corporate, crisis, dividends, economies, economy, energy, europe, exports, fertilizer, financial, funds, GDP, global, hedge, industrial, inflation, institutional, investing, investors, Japan, mal, malvin, markets, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, mining, monetary, north, production, profitability, resources, retail, s&p, sales, shanghai, spooner, steel, stimulus, stock, strategists, surprises, U.S.$, US$
6 Comments
Why the price of gold skyrocketed and why it’s over!
Everyone is fascinated by the yellow metal. I’ve been to exploration sites as far north as Nunavut (by the Arctic Ocean) and south to operating mines in Chile. But determining what it’s worth remains a conundrum to all of us. The price … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged bonds, bullion, credit, demand, expectations, fund, funds, gold, government, history, inflation, interest, investors, liqidity, malvin, malvinspooner, markets, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, monetary, money, mutual, policy, price, rally, rates, resources, spooner, treasuries, US$
11 Comments
The BIG Bernanke: Bond risk for the duration!
The infatuation of investors, retail and institutional alike with bonds has become ridiculous – more lust than love. The perception that there remains less risk in fixed income cannot be further from reality – especially because of the post-crisis distortions … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged bernanke, big, bonds, cohen, committiees, commodities, coupon, duration, endowment, equities, fixed, flows, FOMC, funds, government, holdings, income, inflows, institutional, investors, lebowski, mal, malvin, malvinspooner, market, maturity, maverick, maverickinvestors, maverickinvestors.com, of, operation twist, pension, rate, redemptions, retail, return, sensitivity, spooner, stock, treasuries, U.S.$, US$, yield
3 Comments
How can the stock market be overbought? Nobody’s buying!
Earnings, not wholesale ‘buying’ have been driving the recent rally….please read my previous comments . Those arguing that the “Olympic” rally is a false start have simply missed the boat yet again. They suggest the stock market is overbought but … Continue reading
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