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Tag Archives: forecast
Why the S&P 500 should fall another 10% to 20%.
The risk of being so right in one’s projections (I called this meltdown months ago) is you begin to second guess yourself – maybe now I should turn bullish? The recent rally (which I covered in my “It’s a Trap” … Continue reading
Posted in markets, Random Thoughts
Tagged bearish, coronavirus, correction, earnings, forecast, Index, maverickinvestors, prediction, price-to-earnings, S&P 500, stock market
2 Comments
S&P 500 closes below my -35% target
The index blew through my original target (from early February) of 2600 – which I determined prior to the global lock-down meant to contain the novel coronavirus. It was based on an average P/E of 15 times no growth in … Continue reading
Posted in markets, Random Thoughts
Tagged bearish, coronavirus, earnings, forecast, maverickinvestors, price-to-earnings, S&P 500, spooner
1 Comment
What is the downside for S&P 500?
For those who follow my rants, you’ll recall (okay, you probably won’t recall) my proprietary method of estimating where the S&P 500 Index should be headed. If you scan very old posts of mine, you’ll notice that this has served … Continue reading
Who could have predicted these oil prices? I’ll tell you.
The following prescient quote is from February 2014: The economies of China and India have slowed, and the U.S. is trending towards energy self-sufficiency thanks to production growth nobody envisioned back then. The question today is why oil prices haven’t … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged bonds, capital spending, china, earnings, economy, emerging, energy, eurozone, forecast, global, Greece, industry, inflation, Latvia, malvin, markets, maverickinvestors.com, oil prices, outlook, P/E, railways, S&P 500, seekingalpha.com, shale, spooner, stock market, stocks, treasuries, U.S.$, US$, yield
4 Comments
Who predicted these oil prices? I’ll tell you.
The following prescient quote is from February 2014: The economies of China and India have slowed, and the U.S. is trending towards energy self-sufficiency thanks to production growth nobody envisioned back then. The question today is why oil prices haven’t … Continue reading
Posted in GOLD & COMMODITIES, Random Thoughts
Tagged bonds, capital spending, china, earnings, economy, emerging, energy, eurozone, forecast, global, Greece, industry, inflation, Latvia, malvin, markets, maverickinvestors.com, oil prices, outlook, P/E, railways, S&P 500, seekingalpha.com, shale, spooner, stock market, stocks, treasuries, U.S.$, US$, yield
4 Comments
Stocks & Bonds…the next 100 years.
Trying to determine investment strategy hinges on a seemingly impossible exercize. Namely, predicting what the world will be like. The most important metrics are interest rates and real rates of return for the more critical asset class alternatives. Despite our … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged 21st, 500, allianz, allocation, allocators, analysts, asset, behavioral, bonds, century, class, economic, economy, equations, equities, europe, fixed, forecast, france, Germany, global, growth, income, italy, Japan, long-term, malvin, malvinspooner, managers, markets, math, maverickinvestors.com, mix, models, outlook, portfolio, premium, quantitative, rates, real, return, risk, s&p, S&P500, short-term, spooner, stocks, Switzerland, treasury, U.S.$, US$, volatility, wizards, World
2 Comments
How to predict the future – on the back of an envelope!
Fortune telling isn’t as difficult as you might think. A good prognosticor will combine some highly probable occurances (“you will meet someone”) with some razzle dazzle (“and become romantically involved”). Forecasting the stock market is easy enough as well. A … Continue reading
Understand stock market in one minute!
LONDON, Nov 1 (Reuters) – Gold buckled under pressure from a stronger dollar on Tuesday after the Greek prime minister shocked financial markets by calling a referendum on an agreed bailout package and as the collapse of broker MF Global … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged bailout, bullion, canadian, chart, charts, community, countries, earnings, euros, exchange, financial, forecast, generics, gold, Greece, healthcare, investment, investors, Lipitor, mal, market, maverick, MF Global, mint, pfizer, pharmacies, receipts, sectors, spooner, stock, stocks, surprise, traded, U.S.$, valuation
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MARKET CORRECTION — The day after you buy stocks!
FORECAST – Sunny with Chance of Showers I was asked to speak at the Alternative Investment Conference in Calgary over the weekend. As you know, I don’t believe in predictions (for reasons covered at length in my new book); I … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged agnico, alternative, cameco, capital, cash, celestics, cfa, cisco, consumers, correction, currency, cycle, dollar, ETF, euro, flows, forecast, funds, Greece, hedge, international, interruption, investments, investor, ipo, Japan, jds, mal, malvin, market, maverick, momentum, NASDAQ, paladin, predict, predictions, s&p, securities, spending, spooner, stimulus, tech, technology, teck, telecommunications, trade, U.S.$, uranium, US$, volatility, west fraser
1 Comment
Maverick Investors Rally Site 