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Tag Archives: flows
Fund flows drive markets, and they suggest many months of misery.
Having (with partners) founded and managed a mutual fund company, I can share some insights when it comes to timing markets. Some say it’s impossible, but the data (and experience) suggest otherwise. For instance, just before the COVID-19 mayhem which … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts, stocks
Tagged bearish, coronavirus, flows, funds, inflows, maverickinvestors, mutual funds, recession, recovery, redemptions, spooner, stock market
4 Comments
BONDS – Where we go from here! (And what about equities?)
But there may be reason to expect any correction to be mitigated by a FED that wants to simply layoff the accelerator rather than apply the brakes. There have been periods when interest rates have climbed modestly yet stock markets continued to be relatively generous. Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged 500, bonds, corporate, correction, discount, duration, earnings, equities, fed, flows, fund, income, Index, interest, ISM, junk, malvin, market, maverickinvestors.com, monetary, policy, portfolios, post-crisis, rates, real, return, risk, ROE, s&p, spooner, spread, stimulus, stock, stocks, tightening, treasuries, treaury, valuations
1 Comment
BONDS – Where we go from here!
But there may be reason to expect any correction to be mitigated by a FED that wants to simply layoff the accelerator rather than apply the brakes. There have been periods when interest rates have climbed modestly yet stock markets continued to be relatively generous. Continue reading
Posted in bonds, Random Thoughts
Tagged 500, bonds, corporate, correction, discount, duration, earnings, equities, fed, flows, fund, income, Index, interest, ISM, junk, malvin, market, maverickinvestors.com, monetary, policy, portfolios, post-crisis, rates, real, return, risk, ROE, s&p, spooner, spread, stimulus, stock, stocks, tightening, treasuries, treaury, valuations
1 Comment
Rising i-rates: More than bonds will get hammered!
In a recent “Investor Alert” the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority (FINRA) warned the investing public: If you have money in a bond fund that holds primarily long-term bonds, expect the value of that fund to decline, perhaps significantly, when interest … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged bank, bernanke, bond, business, central banks, credit, crisis, distribution, dividends, durations, easy, energy, financial, FINRA, flows, fund, growth, income, industrials, interest, investors, iShares, mal, malvin, materials, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, monetary, mutual funds, net, policy, rates, rising, risk, sales, sensitivity, spooner, stimulative, stocks, telecommunication services, trust, US$, utilities, value, yield
1 Comment
The BIG Bernanke: Bond risk for the duration!
The infatuation of investors, retail and institutional alike with bonds has become ridiculous – more lust than love. The perception that there remains less risk in fixed income cannot be further from reality – especially because of the post-crisis distortions … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged bernanke, big, bonds, cohen, committiees, commodities, coupon, duration, endowment, equities, fixed, flows, FOMC, funds, government, holdings, income, inflows, institutional, investors, lebowski, mal, malvin, malvinspooner, market, maturity, maverick, maverickinvestors, maverickinvestors.com, of, operation twist, pension, rate, redemptions, retail, return, sensitivity, spooner, stock, treasuries, U.S.$, US$, yield
3 Comments
How can the stock market be overbought? Nobody’s buying!
Earnings, not wholesale ‘buying’ have been driving the recent rally….please read my previous comments . Those arguing that the “Olympic” rally is a false start have simply missed the boat yet again. They suggest the stock market is overbought but … Continue reading
Money Flows and Regulatory Overkill!
I was reading an interesting article about the U.S. JOBS (Jumpstart our Business Act) which in effect begins to unwind some of the so-called “investor protection” constraints imposed by the excessive reactionary measures contained in the Sarbanes-Oxley and Dodd-Frank laws. … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged 500, appreciation, bankrupt, bonds, burden, crisis, dividend, economy, equities, financial, flows, fund, funds, governments, grade, institutions, investment, investors, layoffs, mal, malvin, market, mass, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, money, mutual, overkill, performance, psychology, regulatory, retail, reversion, RRSP, s&p, spooner, stocks, tax, unemployment, valuations, volatility, yields
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Out with the Treasuries, in with Corporates!!!
Is it time to gravitate towards U.S. corporate bonds and get out from the behind the sanctuary of treasuries? Many argue that the recent drift upwards of the benchmark 10-year treasury yield is a blip. Others believe that it is … Continue reading
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