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"This book is like Mal - who is a rider, a rocker and a rebel. He doesn't just think outside the box - he drags it behind his Harley on a cross-continent adventure and then runs over it a few times for good measure. The Bay and Wall Street guys are gonna hate it - Main Streeters should embrace it. One ton of fun!" BJ Del Conte Chase Producer, BNN - Business News Network Business Producer/Anchor - CP24-
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Tag Archives: europe
Are markets in denial? Recent history in one chart!
Are we and the stock market in denial? Talk of a ‘double-dip’ recession seemed to grow quieter once the correction I predicted back in January ran its course and the market headed to new highs. I still adhere to my … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged assets, bernanke, bonds, bullish, china, consumers, corporate, crisis, curve, curves, debt, deflation, earnings, economies, economy, equities, europe, European, expectations, fed, federal, inflation, interest, investor, liquidity, long, mal, malvin, margin, market, markets, maturity, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, profitability, QE, quantitative, rates, reserve, risky, s&p, short, sloping, spooner, stock, tapering, treasuries, treasury, yellen, yield
1 Comment
China will be the next big surprise!
China was all the rage for a short while, but despite chugging along at a premium growth rate to the rest of the world, investors have pretty much focussed on other markets – the U.S. of course but Japan as well of … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged 500, america, bonds, boom, china, commodities, composite, corporate, crisis, dividends, economies, economy, energy, europe, exports, fertilizer, financial, funds, GDP, global, hedge, industrial, inflation, institutional, investing, investors, Japan, mal, malvin, markets, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, mining, monetary, north, production, profitability, resources, retail, s&p, sales, shanghai, spooner, steel, stimulus, stock, strategists, surprises, U.S.$, US$
6 Comments
Bonds at risk, inflation threat and stocks fully valued!
In mid-October the S&P 500 Index was at 1428.50 and I suggested (despite all the pessimism at that time) that if rates and inflation remained steady we could see the index move 20% higher. To be precise I reasoned: For … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged bonds, china, confidence, consumer, corporate, earnings, europe, expectations, growth, Index, inflation, interest rates, investment, investor, markets, money, P/E, S&P 500, stock, supply, treasuries, unemployment
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Stocks & Bonds…the next 100 years.
Trying to determine investment strategy hinges on a seemingly impossible exercize. Namely, predicting what the world will be like. The most important metrics are interest rates and real rates of return for the more critical asset class alternatives. Despite our … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged 21st, 500, allianz, allocation, allocators, analysts, asset, behavioral, bonds, century, class, economic, economy, equations, equities, europe, fixed, forecast, france, Germany, global, growth, income, italy, Japan, long-term, malvin, malvinspooner, managers, markets, math, maverickinvestors.com, mix, models, outlook, portfolio, premium, quantitative, rates, real, return, risk, s&p, S&P500, short-term, spooner, stocks, Switzerland, treasury, U.S.$, US$, volatility, wizards, World
2 Comments
U.S. Employment: It’s getting better all the time!
Although I’ll stick to my warning about the annual perils associated with stock markets during the 3rdQ (i.e. best to avoid – see previous postings) I do keep track of what’s going on in the economy by monitoring what I’ve … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged bubble, china, claims, cliff, easy, economy, election, elections, europe, events, financial, fiscal, growth, initial jobless, investors, layoff, layoffs, malvin, malvinspooner, markets, mass, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, monetary, policy, spooner, stock, unemployment
2 Comments
The ‘bonds’ are back in town? Don’t be fooled!
Back on June 4th, in my commentary suggesting Yogi Berra (“When you come to a fork in the road, take it!”) would make a great investment strategist I thought at the time we were indeed at a fork in the … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged 10-year, 30-year, analysis, analysts, bond market, bondholders, bonds, china, correction, discount, dressing, europe, growth, Index, interest, investors, malvin, market, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, overbought, overvalued, predicted, price, projected, range, rates, returns, s&p, S&P 500, S&P500, spooner, statements, steady, stock, trading, treasuries, treasury, turmoil, valuation, window, year-end, yield
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Where to shove your Risk Budget!
I was watching business television and an articulate gentleman, the top dog for a rather large retirement fund, was the guest. Perhaps I’ve been living too long in a cocoon, but while discussing the current investment strategy of this large … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged asset, bernanke, budget, china, classes, consultant's, correlation, covariance, covariances, diversification, dividends, downgrades, earnings, econometrics, economic, efficient, estimate, estimates, europe, expected, funding, growth, institutional, investors, liabilities, malvin, malvinspooner, market, markets, markowitz, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, models, pension, portfolio, quantify, research, retirement, return, returns, revisions, risk, spooner, stock, tolerance, twist, U.S.$, valuation
1 Comment
When to rotate into cyclicals? NOW!
I’ve been preaching for decades (and discussed in both my books ad nauseum) that the right thing to be doing at any point in time is the exact opposite of what everyone else is doing. If it’s a difficult thing to … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged 500, assets, cash, commodities, commodity, consumer, copper, credit, cyclicals, economically, economy, EFT, europe, European, exchange-traded, fund, funds, global, gold, growth, healthcare, housing, inflows, interest, investors, malvin, malvinspooner, manager, market, maverickinvestors, maverickinvestors.com, oil, portfolio, prices, rally, rates, REITS, s&p, sectors, sensitive, software, spooner, Staples, stock, stocks, U.S.$, woes, wti, yield
5 Comments
Yogi Berra – as good an investment strategist as any!
“When you arrive at a fork in the road, take it.” Yogi Berra could have been recommending an investment strategy. Everyone is desperately trying to collect some yield while they watch from the sidelines, uncertain which fork in the road … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged 500, berra, discount, earnings, europe, forecasts, government, Greece, Index, indexes, Indices, interest, investment, investors, mal, malvin, malvinspooner, market, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, model, models, predictions, rates, s&p, S&P/TSX, S&P500, spain, spooner, stock, strategist, strategy, TSX, turmoil, yogi
2 Comments