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Tag Archives: economic
First a correction; and then another banner year for stock markets!
It shouldn’t be surprising that the current ‘mood’ just oozes caution. The market is kind of like the bear (I met one face-to-face in Alaska many moons ago while fishing in ‘his‘ creek) – at one moment the bear seems content and … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged 500, adams, assets, bond, bonds, bubble, china, commodity, discount, earnings, economic, estimate, expectations, fair, gina, gold, Index, inflation, interest rates, investors, ISM, mal, malvinspooner, market, martin, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, momentum, optimism, overvalued, P/E, premium, price to value ratio, Price/Earnings, prices, ratio, revisions, risky, s&p, S&P500, spooner, stock, tapering, undervalued, value, yield
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China? No need for worry in the year of the snake!
It’s the year of the snake, which seems appropriate since everyone is worried about the slowing of the Chinese economy. In previous posts, I’ve described why the economic course of action China has adopted is brilliant – the country’s only … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged asset, BofA Merrill, china, class, confidence, country, direct, economic, economy, foreign, fund, growth, hedge, investment, investor, mal, malvin, managers, maverick, maverickinvestors, money, policy, security, sentiment, slowed, slowing, spooner, survey, U.S.$, US$
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China’s Catch-22
I considered the title “bad news is good news” but it seems the phrase ‘Catch-22’ from Joseph Heller’s book is more appropriate. A dictionary describes it as “a problematic situation for which the only solution is denied by a circumstance … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged appreciate, Bank of America, bull, china, Chinese, Citibank, composite, credit, currency, DAP, debt, depreciate, economic, economy, exchange, expansion, exports, fertilizer, financing, goldman, greenback, growth, interest, investors, liquidity, loan, mal, malvin, market, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, money, Morgan, nitrogen, nomura, people's bank, rates, remnimbi, RMB, shanghai, spooner, treasuries, trillion, U.S.$, urea
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Stocks & Bonds…the next 100 years.
Trying to determine investment strategy hinges on a seemingly impossible exercize. Namely, predicting what the world will be like. The most important metrics are interest rates and real rates of return for the more critical asset class alternatives. Despite our … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged 21st, 500, allianz, allocation, allocators, analysts, asset, behavioral, bonds, century, class, economic, economy, equations, equities, europe, fixed, forecast, france, Germany, global, growth, income, italy, Japan, long-term, malvin, malvinspooner, managers, markets, math, maverickinvestors.com, mix, models, outlook, portfolio, premium, quantitative, rates, real, return, risk, s&p, S&P500, short-term, spooner, stocks, Switzerland, treasury, U.S.$, US$, volatility, wizards, World
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Where to shove your Risk Budget!
I was watching business television and an articulate gentleman, the top dog for a rather large retirement fund, was the guest. Perhaps I’ve been living too long in a cocoon, but while discussing the current investment strategy of this large … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged asset, bernanke, budget, china, classes, consultant's, correlation, covariance, covariances, diversification, dividends, downgrades, earnings, econometrics, economic, efficient, estimate, estimates, europe, expected, funding, growth, institutional, investors, liabilities, malvin, malvinspooner, market, markets, markowitz, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, models, pension, portfolio, quantify, research, retirement, return, returns, revisions, risk, spooner, stock, tolerance, twist, U.S.$, valuation
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Behavioural psychologists DON’T understand investment industry.
Most people would agree with the following statement by celebrated behavioural psychologist Daniel Kahneman – from his best selling book describing new insights into how good and bad decisions are made: “Why do investors, both amateur and professional, stubbornly believe … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged asset, behaviour, capital, cramer, daniel kahneman, data, decision, decision-making, economic, efficient, fast, finance, financial, frontier, growth, Information, investment, mal, malvin, market, markets, mathematics, maverick, maverickinvestor, maverickinvestors.com, model, momentum, portfolio, prices, pricing, profits, psychologists, psychology, slow, spooner, statistics, stock, theory, thinking, thought, value
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