Evidence supports the notion that strategies targeting ‘earnings surprises’ are relatively impotent these days. I remember twenty years ago (long before these stats were tracked with near precision using quantitative…
The release of data that is unexpected can be disruptive to markets as we’ve just experienced, but what causes even more volatility is the impact of surprising data releases on…
For decades I taught younger portfolio managers and trading professionals that the best investment strategy is always to “Do the Opposite.” Virtually every summer this would mean buying while others…
Back in early June, I posted Yogi Berra – as good an investment strategist as any! in which I suggested : “If financial turmoil continues unabated and rates remain extremely low,…
Most people would agree with the following statement by celebrated behavioural psychologist Daniel Kahneman – from his best selling book describing new insights into how good and bad decisions are…
What’s changed between now and a year ago? There’s no shortage of people that think nothing much has changed. Greece and Portugal are still up the creek, and if anything…
The good news, is that I continue to see regular (less frequent that 2 years ago for sure) predictions that the financial world is about to go into a meltdown along with…
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