I’ve hinted many times over the years that the most robust leading indicator is the ISM (Institute for Supply Management) manufacturing index. Last Friday, the report was – not surprisingly…
Over many years I’ve marveled at how reliable consumer sentiment has been as a contrarian indicator. When it reaches rock bottom then the markets, followed by the economy begin to…
Consumer sentiment is usually considered an economic leading indicator. When confidence is at rock bottom levels, it’s a sign that the economy and stocks markets are heading lower. This isn’t…
Most of the economic data we’ve been seeing (don’t forget it’s historical data) belies the common thinking that the weather has been dampening economic growth. The just reported U.S. GDP…
The latest consumer confidence release shows a significant improvement. “Rising home prices and a rising stock market are two key factors that are boosting consumer confidence. And a third factor…
It’s time again to send up a warning flare. Markets haven’t really responded to warnings from Warren Buffet about bonds, and quotes like the following are becoming more abundant: “Stay…
On March 20th, I published the following quote in my regular money.ca blog entitled: Reacting to headlines is perilous! Most worrisome: Jim Cramer (wait long enough and you’ll eventually be…
In mid-October the S&P 500 Index was at 1428.50 and I suggested (despite all the pessimism at that time) that if rates and inflation remained steady we could see the…
I’ve written before (many times) about the fact that strong consumer confidence is not at all good for the markets. You must have heard the news: “The Consumer Confidence Index increased in…
Back in early June, I posted Yogi Berra – as good an investment strategist as any! in which I suggested : “If financial turmoil continues unabated and rates remain extremely low,…
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