Tag Archives: commodity

The Day After – Catalyst for resumption of Bull Market will be a surprise!

I provided a rather winded explanation in my previous discussion about why the current correction was inevitable.  Since then, the S&P 500 has declined roughly 3%.  It is likely to get worse before it gets better? My own estimation was … Continue reading

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First a correction; and then another banner year for stock markets!

It shouldn’t be surprising that the current ‘mood’ just oozes caution.   The market is kind of like the bear (I met one face-to-face in Alaska many moons ago while fishing in ‘his‘ creek) – at one moment the bear seems content and … Continue reading

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When to rotate into cyclicals? NOW!

I’ve been preaching for decades (and discussed in both my books ad nauseum) that the right thing to be doing at any point in time is the exact opposite of what everyone else is doing.  If it’s a difficult thing to … Continue reading

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How I predicted the decline in GOLD price!

The gold price has declined from the roughly $1750 level back in February to less than $1550 (more than 10% in 3 months).  It could be a screaming buy, but I’d discourage anyone from jumping in at this juncture.  What … Continue reading

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CHINA: Much ado about nothing.

China is almost grown up! When I wrote Resources Rock: How to Invest in and Profit From the Next Global Boom in Natural Resources in 2004 China wasn’t in the news as much as it is a mere 8 years … Continue reading

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A case for $120 WTI oil – and sharply higher stock prices.

Back in July I was surprised to notice that oil prices continued to remain firm during the odd 2011 summer months (an anomaly caused by strife in the Middle East) when ordinarily we experience softness in energy prices that time … Continue reading

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Why invest in resources if China is slowing?

Commodity prices lead economic data – they plummeted in anticipation of the current doldrums, and are now rising ahead of a global recovery. On October 24th, 2011 I posted the following: “Look for commodity stocks to continue to bounce in … Continue reading

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