Tag Archives: cash

Did your strategist predict this market? Get a new strategist!

Below is a commentary I published on March 8th. Like Warren Buffet, I was especially worried about the bond market. During the months before I posted the article, huge inflows into fixed income funds took place. Suddenly investors began selling … Continue reading

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Global resources boom imminent!

“The global demand for resources is beginning to improve, the Far East is growing again, and over the past years, commodity prices are heading in the right direction – as is to be expected at the start of a global … Continue reading

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When to rotate into cyclicals? NOW!

I’ve been preaching for decades (and discussed in both my books ad nauseum) that the right thing to be doing at any point in time is the exact opposite of what everyone else is doing.  If it’s a difficult thing to … Continue reading

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Hiring…..? Go for the older guys! Part deux.

In an earlier but extremely popular posting entitled –Hiring Portfolio Managers? Go for the older guys! – I hinted that age discrimination, at least when it comes to the investment industry is a bad idea, even if it is endemic.  I have no supporting … Continue reading

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Is the end near? For yield it just might be!

A huge believer that what we read in the press is always the exact opposite of what we should expect, the universal agreement by pundits that interest rates will remain at rock bottom levels must be a signal.  And the … Continue reading

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Institutional Investors missed the boat….yet again!

Just back from a nice ride on a rented Harley-Davidson motorcycle (in beautiful Arizona), I can’t say that I’m back in the swing of things just yet, but it sure did clear my head. Oh, and an occasional break does … Continue reading

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Fund flows point to continued strength in global equity markets!

Back in September I suggested that my favourite contrary leading indicator – the weighting devoted to equities by institutional investors – was pointing to an imminent rally in stock markets. Once again it proved robust. But what’s happened since then? … Continue reading

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Great News! The consumer is miserable and shopping!

On August 31st, when we learned that consumer confidence had plummeted to rock bottom levels, I said (in the posting Consumer – lower confidence is GOOD news!): “What’s important, is that optimism concerning stock markets is far more warranted when … Continue reading

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Asset Allocation points to RALLY!

Very many years ago I published an obscure article in ‘Benefits Canada’ that demonstrated (using data on institutional fund managers) asset allocation by professionals is not much different from behaviour by retail investors.  The dollars allocated to an asset class … Continue reading

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MARKET CORRECTION — The day after you buy stocks!

FORECAST – Sunny with Chance of Showers I was asked to speak at the Alternative Investment Conference in Calgary over the weekend. As you know, I don’t believe in predictions (for reasons covered at length in my new book); I … Continue reading

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