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Tag Archives: bullish
The Market Conundrum: Buy or Wait!
From a Harvard Business Review Article: Researchers have identified a whole series of such flaws in the way we think in making decisions. Some, like the heuristic for clarity, are sensory misperceptions. Others take the form of biases. Others appear … Continue reading
Posted in markets, Random Thoughts
Tagged Bear, bullish, buy, coronavirus, recession, stock market
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Are markets in denial? Recent history in one chart!
Are we and the stock market in denial? Talk of a ‘double-dip’ recession seemed to grow quieter once the correction I predicted back in January ran its course and the market headed to new highs. I still adhere to my … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged assets, bernanke, bonds, bullish, china, consumers, corporate, crisis, curve, curves, debt, deflation, earnings, economies, economy, equities, europe, European, expectations, fed, federal, inflation, interest, investor, liquidity, long, mal, malvin, margin, market, markets, maturity, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, profitability, QE, quantitative, rates, reserve, risky, s&p, short, sloping, spooner, stock, tapering, treasuries, treasury, yellen, yield
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High Consumer Confidence is bad news for stock market!
The latest consumer confidence release shows a significant improvement. “Rising home prices and a rising stock market are two key factors that are boosting consumer confidence. And a third factor is rising strength in the jobs market. The consumer confidence … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged 500, bearish, bubble, bullish, confidence, consumer, economy, employment, equities, finance, housing, Index, indicator, interest, investors, mal, malvinspooner, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, money.ca, overvalued, prices, rates, risk, s&p, spooner, unemployment
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Correction done? Don’t bet on it!
On March 20th, I published the following quote in my regular money.ca blog entitled: Reacting to headlines is perilous! Most worrisome: Jim Cramer (wait long enough and you’ll eventually be right) is more wound up than a four-year old high … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged behavioural, benchmark, biases, bond, bubble, bubbles, bullish, consumer, correction, earnings, easy money, fair value, fed, financial, fundamentals, GDP, Index, invesment, investors, mal, malvin, markets, maverick, maverickinvestors.ca, money.ca, optimistic, performance, risk, s&p, S&P500, sentiment, spooner, stocks, World, yields
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Gurus cannot time markets? I’ll tell you who can!
Studies examining former market calls (like checking the rear view mirror) of experts suggest that the ability of ‘gurus’ to predict markets is less than 50%. Slightly worse than flipping a coin. In my book I pick on a couple of very … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged assets, bearish, bloomberg, BNN, bonds, box, bullish, china, cnbc, corporate, crisis, cycle, economy, fed, fiscal, forecasts, growth, guru, gurus, investors, malvin, malvinspooner, managers, markets, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, money, popular, popularity, predict, predictions, recovery, resource, S&P 500, spanish, spooner, squawk, stimulate, treasuries, unemployment, US$, yields
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Consumer – lower confidence is GOOD news!
Consumer confidence is often mistaken as a leading indicator. My experience over many years is that the measure is used at times to rationalize irrational bullishness – when the brain says sell and take some profits, but the urge to splurge is … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged 1987, 500, bottoms, bullish, bullishness, confidence, consumer, crash, economics, economy, Index, investors, lows, mal, malvin, market, maverick, s&p, sentiment, spooner, unemployement, valuations
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Are Mutual Funds Dead? Or Making a Comeback?
In the spirit of ‘do-the-opposite’ I’m thinking the worst may be over for the estranged ‘mutual funds’ that invest in U.S. stocks. My first indicator, is that finally cash is exiting money market funds. I disagree with this headline though: from … Continue reading
Inflation, Gold & Scotland
I am at the CFA Conference in beautiful Edinburg, Scotland. A survey of the large body (1200 delegates from all over the world) asking what is your biggest worry – got “inflation” as the overwhelming response. I consider (based on … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged Asia, bullish, CFA.inflation, china, conference, forecast, gold, investors, mal, market, maverick, prediction, resources, Scotland, spooner, stock
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Falling consumer confidence is BULLISH!
I just heard on the TV a disussion about the U.S. housing market these words: “There’s no hope of a recover in sight!” As I hinted in my previous posting, this isn’t such a bad thing. A maverick investor sees … Continue reading
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