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Tag Archives: bubble
First a correction; and then another banner year for stock markets!
It shouldn’t be surprising that the current ‘mood’ just oozes caution. The market is kind of like the bear (I met one face-to-face in Alaska many moons ago while fishing in ‘his‘ creek) – at one moment the bear seems content and … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts Tagged 500, adams, assets, bond, bonds, bubble, china, commodity, discount, earnings, economic, estimate, expectations, fair, gina, gold, Index, inflation, interest rates, investors, ISM, mal, malvinspooner, market, martin, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, momentum, optimism, overvalued, P/E, premium, price to value ratio, Price/Earnings, prices, ratio, revisions, risky, s&p, S&P500, spooner, stock, tapering, undervalued, value, yield 8 Comments
Did your strategist predict this market? Get a new strategist!
Below is a commentary I published on March 8th. Like Warren Buffet, I was especially worried about the bond market. During the months before I posted the article, huge inflows into fixed income funds took place. Suddenly investors began selling … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts Tagged 500, banks, barclays, bonds, bubble, capital, cash, companies, compliance, crisis, derivatives, EFT, equities, fixed, flows, income, insurance, interest, investors, losses, mal, malvinspooner, market, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, post-financial, prices, rates, redemptions, rise, s&p, selling, spooner, stock, stocks, treasury, ubs, US$, yield Leave a comment
High Consumer Confidence is bad news for stock market!
The latest consumer confidence release shows a significant improvement. “Rising home prices and a rising stock market are two key factors that are boosting consumer confidence. And a third factor is rising strength in the jobs market. The consumer confidence … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts Tagged 500, bearish, bubble, bullish, confidence, consumer, economy, employment, equities, finance, housing, Index, indicator, interest, investors, mal, malvinspooner, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, money.ca, overvalued, prices, rates, risk, s&p, spooner, unemployment 5 Comments
Correction done? Don’t bet on it!
On March 20th, I published the following quote in my regular money.ca blog entitled: Reacting to headlines is perilous! Most worrisome: Jim Cramer (wait long enough and you’ll eventually be right) is more wound up than a four-year old high … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts Tagged behavioural, benchmark, biases, bond, bubble, bubbles, bullish, consumer, correction, earnings, easy money, fair value, fed, financial, fundamentals, GDP, Index, invesment, investors, mal, malvin, markets, maverick, maverickinvestors.ca, money.ca, optimistic, performance, risk, s&p, S&P500, sentiment, spooner, stocks, World, yields 3 Comments
Everyone expects a correction; they just haven’t caused one yet!
The release of data that is unexpected can be disruptive to markets as we’ve just experienced, but what causes even more volatility is the impact of surprising data releases on investor expectations. Bear markets caused by recessions are easier to … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts Tagged ADP, Bear, bubble, commerce, correction, data, department, dividend, employment, expectations, factory, federal, Index, industrial, Institute of Supply Management, inventories, investor, investors, ISM, jobs, mal, malvin, manufacturing, markets, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, orders, PMI, post-crisis, production, pullback, recessions, reserve, shipments, slowdown, spooner, strategists, system, yield Leave a comment
Selling bonds to buy stocks? Try door #3 instead!
I have been warning about bonds now for over 6 months. Finally the press is catching on, ensuring that a normal development over the course of a business cycle (whether ignited by natural forces or government intervention) – rising interest … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts Tagged 500, aggressive, bonds, bubble, business, compliance, correction, crisis, cycle, DJIA, financial, government, inflation, interest rates, intervention, investment, investors, mal, malvin, market, markets, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, monetary, policy, risk, s&p, S&P500, spooner, stock, stocks, treasuries, U.S.$, ubs, US$, warren buffet, yields Leave a comment
U.S. Employment: It’s getting better all the time!
Although I’ll stick to my warning about the annual perils associated with stock markets during the 3rdQ (i.e. best to avoid – see previous postings) I do keep track of what’s going on in the economy by monitoring what I’ve … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts Tagged bubble, china, claims, cliff, easy, economy, election, elections, europe, events, financial, fiscal, growth, initial jobless, investors, layoff, layoffs, malvin, malvinspooner, markets, mass, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, monetary, policy, spooner, stock, unemployment 2 Comments
Don’t be fooled – it “is” a bond BUBBLE!
Are these folks shopping for US Treasuries? Thirty years ago, when I got my first job as an investment analyst (Canadian Pacific Pension Fund) the bond managers were a sad bunch. Rates had gradually climbed (i.e. bond portfolios kept losing … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts Tagged annual, bond, bonds, bubble, credit, crisis, diversification, equities, funds, global, gold, guidebook, inflows, interest, intermediate, investors, long-term, mal, malvin, maturity, maverick, money, mutual, net, normalized, portfolios, prices, rate, rates, redemptions, risk, sales, securities, security, spooner, stocks, T-Bills, tech, treasuries, US$, yields 3 Comments
Time to buy base metals says expert!
Okay perhaps not such an ‘expert’ but I do believe it’s time we let Europe deal with its own financial woes and begin making sensible bets again. The global economy is chugging along (with a broadly based earnings recovery in … Continue reading