Tag Archives: Bear

How long before this bear market hibernates again?

Most of what I read suggests we’re experiencing a Bear Market rally, and that it will be short-lived.  A very respected strategist friend of mind put it this way: It remains our view that stock markets will return to test … Continue reading

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Bear Market Over? Or “It’s a Trap!”

If you think a few good days in the stock market signals the end of the big bad BEAR, then watch this video. I’ve suggested in prior articles that there’s the potential for much more downside, especially as data (months, … Continue reading

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The Market Conundrum: Buy or Wait!

From a Harvard Business Review Article: Researchers have identified a whole series of such flaws in the way we think in making decisions. Some, like the heuristic for clarity, are sensory misperceptions. Others take the form of biases. Others appear … Continue reading

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Market encroaching on my -35% target.

The stock market has been crushed in recent weeks and is officially in Bear Market territory (down more than 20%). Market pundits suggest that since markets usually provide information in advance, that a recession is “possible.” As I’ve indicated in … Continue reading

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Despite Relief Rallies, Markets headed lower.

On Feb. 26th, I published my ‘revised’ downside for the S&P 500 of 17%. Well, watching CNBC I discover major indexes are now down 17%. I am patting myself on the back, but am hardly ecstatic. So is it all … Continue reading

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Everyone expects a correction; they just haven’t caused one yet!

The release of data that is unexpected can be disruptive to markets as we’ve just experienced, but what causes even more volatility is the impact of surprising data releases on investor expectations.  Bear markets caused by recessions are easier to … Continue reading

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Hiring…..? Go for the older guys! Part deux.

In an earlier but extremely popular posting entitled –Hiring Portfolio Managers? Go for the older guys! – I hinted that age discrimination, at least when it comes to the investment industry is a bad idea, even if it is endemic.  I have no supporting … Continue reading

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Europe short-selling ban? Ban all of it everywhere!

From Financial Times: Friday 21.30 BST. “Global stocks are rallying as a partial short-selling ban helps European banks rebound – reducing financial system contagion fears – but lingering concerns about global growth and wariness over recent intense volatility are keeping … Continue reading

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