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Tag Archives: assets
Are markets in denial? Recent history in one chart!
Are we and the stock market in denial? Talk of a ‘double-dip’ recession seemed to grow quieter once the correction I predicted back in January ran its course and the market headed to new highs. I still adhere to my … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged assets, bernanke, bonds, bullish, china, consumers, corporate, crisis, curve, curves, debt, deflation, earnings, economies, economy, equities, europe, European, expectations, fed, federal, inflation, interest, investor, liquidity, long, mal, malvin, margin, market, markets, maturity, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, profitability, QE, quantitative, rates, reserve, risky, s&p, short, sloping, spooner, stock, tapering, treasuries, treasury, yellen, yield
1 Comment
First a correction; and then another banner year for stock markets!
It shouldn’t be surprising that the current ‘mood’ just oozes caution. The market is kind of like the bear (I met one face-to-face in Alaska many moons ago while fishing in ‘his‘ creek) – at one moment the bear seems content and … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged 500, adams, assets, bond, bonds, bubble, china, commodity, discount, earnings, economic, estimate, expectations, fair, gina, gold, Index, inflation, interest rates, investors, ISM, mal, malvinspooner, market, martin, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, momentum, optimism, overvalued, P/E, premium, price to value ratio, Price/Earnings, prices, ratio, revisions, risky, s&p, S&P500, spooner, stock, tapering, undervalued, value, yield
8 Comments
Gurus cannot time markets? I’ll tell you who can!
Studies examining former market calls (like checking the rear view mirror) of experts suggest that the ability of ‘gurus’ to predict markets is less than 50%. Slightly worse than flipping a coin. In my book I pick on a couple of very … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged assets, bearish, bloomberg, BNN, bonds, box, bullish, china, cnbc, corporate, crisis, cycle, economy, fed, fiscal, forecasts, growth, guru, gurus, investors, malvin, malvinspooner, managers, markets, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, money, popular, popularity, predict, predictions, recovery, resource, S&P 500, spanish, spooner, squawk, stimulate, treasuries, unemployment, US$, yields
1 Comment
When to rotate into cyclicals? NOW!
I’ve been preaching for decades (and discussed in both my books ad nauseum) that the right thing to be doing at any point in time is the exact opposite of what everyone else is doing. If it’s a difficult thing to … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged 500, assets, cash, commodities, commodity, consumer, copper, credit, cyclicals, economically, economy, EFT, europe, European, exchange-traded, fund, funds, global, gold, growth, healthcare, housing, inflows, interest, investors, malvin, malvinspooner, manager, market, maverickinvestors, maverickinvestors.com, oil, portfolio, prices, rally, rates, REITS, s&p, sectors, sensitive, software, spooner, Staples, stock, stocks, U.S.$, woes, wti, yield
5 Comments
Hiring…..? Go for the older guys! Part deux.
In an earlier but extremely popular posting entitled –Hiring Portfolio Managers? Go for the older guys! – I hinted that age discrimination, at least when it comes to the investment industry is a bad idea, even if it is endemic. I have no supporting … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged age, alpha, assets, Bear, bonds, buy, career, cash, client, committees, consulting, CPP, discrimination, experience, finance, fundamental, guidebook, guidelines, hiring, human, investment, investors, mal, malvin, management, managers, markets, maverick, modelling, money, panic, policy, portfolio, predict, professionals, quantitative, resources, risk, sell, spooner, statements, style, wealth
2 Comments
Spread for RISK narrowed; as predicted!
You might recall that in December I posted the adjacent chart, recommending that the spread between equity yields and treasuries was “NUTS” and a narrowing of the spread between more risk and less risk would favour stocks. It remains in … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged accessibility, Asia, assets, balance, behavior, behaviour, biases, blackberry, bonds, capital, consensus, crisis, economic, equities, europe, experts, financial, growth, housing, iPhone, markets, press, psychologists, psychology, returns, risky, sheets, spread, thinking, treasuries, yield, yields
2 Comments
Fund flows point to continued strength in global equity markets!
Back in September I suggested that my favourite contrary leading indicator – the weighting devoted to equities by institutional investors – was pointing to an imminent rally in stock markets. Once again it proved robust. But what’s happened since then? … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged active, allocation, asset, assets, balanced, bonds, britain, cash, crisis, debt, diversification, equities, eurozone, fund, funds, indicators, industry, investor, investors, ISM, lemmings, mal, malvin, management, managers, maverick, maverickinvestors.com, mix, money, mutual, passive, professional, sovereign, spooner, stocks, weight, yield
1 Comment
Move into equities and QUICK! Sell HI & Buy LO!
For the cynics (the ‘wait-and-see’ crowd) this table should be an eye-opener. Just to recap: On Sept 29th I posted Asset Allocation points to RALLY! On November 17th I recommended Euro-Crisis is just noise – BUY American! Forget the headlines … Continue reading
Posted in Random Thoughts
Tagged allocation, asset, assets, austerity, banks, bonds, canada, central, corporate, cycle, deleveraging, earning yield, euro-crisis, europe, eurozone, global, Index, Indices, interest, investment, investors, latin america, long, mal, malvin, maverick, MSCI, rally, rates, returns, risky, s&p, spooner, stocks, strategy, term, treasuries, U.S.$, USA, World, yields
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Are Mutual Funds Dead? Or Making a Comeback?
In the spirit of ‘do-the-opposite’ I’m thinking the worst may be over for the estranged ‘mutual funds’ that invest in U.S. stocks. My first indicator, is that finally cash is exiting money market funds. I disagree with this headline though: from … Continue reading
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