Tag Archives: allocation

Stocks & Bonds…the next 100 years.

Trying to determine investment strategy hinges on a seemingly impossible exercize.  Namely, predicting what the world will be like.  The most important metrics are interest rates and real rates of return for the more critical asset class alternatives.  Despite our … Continue reading

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Fund flows point to continued strength in global equity markets!

Back in September I suggested that my favourite contrary leading indicator – the weighting devoted to equities by institutional investors – was pointing to an imminent rally in stock markets. Once again it proved robust. But what’s happened since then? … Continue reading

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Fairfax – Folly of Risk Management Part Deux!

A mere three days after publishing my brief rant about The Folly of Risk Management we learned that Fairfax Financial Holdings lost a chunk of money on their investments because of the hedges in place. To be fair, these same … Continue reading

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Move into equities and QUICK! Sell HI & Buy LO!

For the cynics (the ‘wait-and-see’ crowd) this table should be an eye-opener.  Just to recap: On Sept 29th I posted Asset Allocation points to RALLY! On November 17th I recommended Euro-Crisis is just noise – BUY American! Forget the headlines … Continue reading

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Great News! The consumer is miserable and shopping!

On August 31st, when we learned that consumer confidence had plummeted to rock bottom levels, I said (in the posting Consumer – lower confidence is GOOD news!): “What’s important, is that optimism concerning stock markets is far more warranted when … Continue reading

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Asset Allocation points to RALLY!

Very many years ago I published an obscure article in ‘Benefits Canada’ that demonstrated (using data on institutional fund managers) asset allocation by professionals is not much different from behaviour by retail investors.  The dollars allocated to an asset class … Continue reading

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